The Big East is the stage for this weekend’s CBB Mogul spotlight play. Although conference followers will have their sights set on the Louisville at West Virginia match up, we are focusing our attention on backing Providence College (13-12, 2-10 BE) to beat the University of South Florida (14-10, 7-4 BE) at home in the Dunkin’ Donuts Center.
USF are a big team, led by 6-10 senior forward Augustus Gilchrist, who is also the team’s leading scorer (10.9 ppg) and ranked second in rebounds (5.1 rpg). They will have a difficult time covering the Friar’s speedy back-court trio of Vincent Council, Bryce Cotton, and Gerard Coleman. Providence are deadly behind the arch, leading the Big East in three-point shooting accuracy at 39.5%. Look for this to be the difference maker in the game, as the Bulls’ big men struggle to defend the perimeter. USF, in fact, is last in the conference at defending the three-point shot giving away a 38.2% success rate to opposing teams.
Despite winning only one of their last four games, the Friars are 4-0 ATS overall and are showing signs improvement as the season winds down. The home team has won the last four meetings between the two teams by an average spread of -5. We’ll take Providence, -2.
CBB Mogul is also wagering on Missouri to cover -6 (medium play) and Kentucky -5 (small). The latter game is falling in price and patient bettors may be able to pick up the Wildcats at -4.5 or better.
Good Luck!
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